Old Moore’s Almanack: World Event Predictions 4th June

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The first set of predictions surround the full moon on 4th June.  Apparently this is a powerful and lively alignment and raises significant questions regarding freedom and the balance between rights and responsibilities.  The actual details are thus:

  • Education will be the priority and there will be initiatives to encourage sport in schools.
  • There will also be concern about violence in schools and precautions should be taken to guard against a high risk of a high-profile stabbing or shooting.
  • West African states seem intent on damaging their own best interests.

Let us see how that panned out:

  • Education will be the priority and there will be initiatives to encourage sport in schools – Not only is the news dominated by the Jubilee but it is a Bank Holiday and half term so political statements about education (about anything really) are muted to non-existent.
  • There will also be concern about violence in schools and precautions should be taken to guard against a high risk of a high-profile stabbing or shooting – Again, as mentioned above, it is half-term so children are on a break from school. There has been no high profile stabbing or shooting at a school or elsewhere.
  • West African states seem intent on damaging their own best interests Again, nothing of note except the tragic accident in Lagos, Nigeria where a MacDonnell-Douglas MD-83 aircraft crashed into a crowded residential area killing all aboard.  However this accident can not be deemed an answer to the stated prediction for there is nothing but sympathy for Nigeria and the Nigerian people regarding this terrible event.

To be honest from a UK perspective nothing was happening in the world except the Diamond Jubilee of Queen Elizabeth II.  All the media was dominated by it and for once politics was taking very much a back seat, so perhaps the seeds of some of these stories were beginning to grow but were blocked from the light but the dominant news story of the last week.

Interestingly there was a transit of Venus (across the Sun) 5th/6th June 2012 the last one for 105 years and so (unless I break the current longevity record) will be the last one that I will see.

But once again, if you think that I have misrepresented the news and/or been unfair to Old Moore feel free to comment.

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Old Moore’s Almanack: World Event Predictions 20th May

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Apologies but due to personal commitments I am writing this up 2 weeks after the event so therefore please excuse anything I miss out.

This set of predictions revolve around the new moon on the 20th May (which just happened to be an eclipse).  Let us see what was predicted:

  • There are strong indications of buoyancy in the property market for the third month in a row.
  • The government will bring in fresh education reforms with new encouragement for independent schools and home-schooling.
  • The United States economy is entering a difficult period and it will experience foreign-policy reverses as it is forced to compromise in the Middle East and central Asia.
  • Egypt is experiencing deep instability and a threat from Islamic fundamentalists.
  • Severe weather conditions could predominate in the Southern Hemisphere.

Let us see how these predictions panned out:

  • There are strong indications of buoyancy in the property market for the third month in a row – Across all housing market indices there are no signs of buoyancy.  At best one could say they are stable but in most regions of the UK they are declining with only the London market bucking the trend and skewing the overall average.
  • The government will bring in fresh education reforms with new encouragement for independent schools and home-schooling – There doesn’t seem to be anything of great significance in the news except for a speech by the opposition leader Ed Miliband bemoaning vocational qualifications but no governmental reforms.
  • The United States economy is entering a difficult period and it will experience foreign-policy reverses as it is forced to compromise in the Middle East and central Asia – The US economy (as is the whole world) is definitely looking precarious, with poor jobs and output figure it certainly looks like the US will go for QE3 to attempt to stabilise the dollar in the maelstrom that is the current marco-economic climate.
  • Egypt is experiencing deep instability and a threat from Islamic fundamentalists – Egypt is still struggling to come to terms with the fallout from the Arab Spring and the overturning of Mubarack (who as I write this has just been sentenced to life imprisonment) on its steps to democracy.  Egypt is looking at its first free presidential elections in 30 years but the choice is not necessarily what one could hope for. The two leading candidates are Ahmed Shafiq who is tied to the Mubarak era regime and Mohammed Mursi leader of the Muslim brotherhood.  However Egypt is currently experiencing severe unrest and there has been accusations of voting irregularities so there may be a delay to the official announcement of candidates for the 16th June elections.
  • Severe weather conditions could predominate in the Southern Hemisphere – There does not seem to be anything in the news.

As I always say if there is anything you think I have missed or have been unfair in my representation of the news then feel free to comment.

Old Moore’s Almanack: Horse Racing: June’s Results

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The horse racing predictions for the month of June cane found at the bottom of page 42 in my copy of Old Moore’s Almanack.  It states “Look out for a fairly local English trained horse at the Derby this year, whilst the favourite or possibly second favourite may be the winner of the Oaks.”

For those of you unfamiliar with English horse racing both of these races happens over the same meeting at Epsom race course in Surrey.  This year’s Oaks was held on the 1st June 2012 and was won by the Aidan O’Brien trained horse Was (ridden by Seamie Heffernan) and at 20-1 could hardly be called a favourite!  The full race card is here.

The Derby (the Queen’s favourite race) kicked off the weekend of Diamond Jubilee celebrations.  With only a field of 9 horses this was the smallest field since 1909 and the Queen was among 130,000 that saw the 8-13 favourite Camelot give Aidan O’Brien his latest Classics winner (he is heading for a clean sweep).  Camelot was ridden by Joseph O’Brien, Aidan’s son, also making history as the first father/son winners of the Derby.  The full race card can be found here.

Now the prediction stated that the winner would be a fairly local English trained horse.  What can be more English that a horse called ‘Camelot’ the legendary seat of King Arthur however Camelot (the horse) is trained in Ballydoyle, Ireland (not exactly local nor English).  If you want to be pedantic Camelot was reared at Highclere stud in Newbury, Berkshire but I would feel that is pushing the facts to fit the prediction.

Therefore I am afraid that Old Moore failed on both predictions this month although if you really want to be a pedant then the first half of the prediction doesn’t actually say that an English trained horse would win the Derby merely to look out for one!

Old Moore’s Almanack: World Event Predictions 6th May

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The first set of predictions for the month of May centre around the full moon on 6th May.  Let us have a look at those predictions:

  • Optimistic trends continue and bold action is called for.
  • Security levels should be on maximum alert for attacks on the British government.
  • There is also a high rish of oil spills, especially in the western Atlantic or western Pacific.
  • Saudi Arabia enters a cycle of uncertainity which lasts until the end of the year and brings the country into conflict with Iran.
  • There could be cyber-attacks around the world and a serious interruption in traffic on the web.

Let us see how accurate those were:

  • Optimistic trends continue and bold action is called for – What does this even mean?  This is a statement not a prediction and a rather non-descript, un-quantifiable statement.  And to be frank I would say that the contrary is true.  With France eleccting her first Socialist government in thirty years, the Greek government on the point of collapse and general rejection of the austerity measures that are being put in place by various European governments there is a real sense of standing on the edge of a financial abyss.
  • Security levels should be on maximum alert for attacks on the British government. – The only attack on the British government has been from the British voters.  Despite (or perhaps because of) the low turnout at the polls the encumbent coalition parties took a real battering in the local elections.  Security levels probably are high (we are hosting the Olympics later this year) but nothing that has made the news.  However, again I think that this is Old Moore is looking at history to predict the future.  On the 11th May 1812 John Bellingham, a bankrupt mechant assassinated Spencer Perceval in the House of Commons.  The first, and only time a British Prime Minister (although strictly speaking the title Prime Minister was not in use for the Leader of the British government at the time) has been assassinated.  Spencer Perceval was shot through the heart and died within a few minutes; while Bellingham was executed one week later on the 18th May.  Interestingly one of John Bellingham’s decendants: Henry Bellingham is currently a Foreign Office minister and MP for North West Norfolk.
  • There is also a high rish of oil spills, especially in the western Atlantic or western Pacific. – Nothing that has made the news.
  • Saudi Arabia enters a cycle of uncertainity which lasts until the end of the year and brings the country into conflict with Iran. – I will wait and see on this.  The only major newsworthy story concerning Saudi Arabia was the revelation that the Al Qa’ida operative that the CIA have intercepted with the latest version of the underpants bomb was in fact a Saudi double agent that had been placed by the Saudi intelligence agency in a Yemeni cell.
  • There could be cyber-attacks around the world and a serious interruption in traffic on the web. – Not really cyber-attacks around the world but Virgin Media was forced to take its website office for an hour during a hack attack by the Anonymous Collective.  The Anonymous Collective targetted Virgin Media as Virgin Media became the first ISP in the UK to block users from accessing The Pirate Bay’s file sharing website.  The UK High Court has ordered the UK’s ISPs to prevent their users from accessing the Swedish website which hosts (among other files) pirated music and video infringing copyright of large media organisations.  Four other ISPs: Sky, Everything Everywhere, TalkTalk and O2 have also been ordered to prevent their customers accessing The Pirate Bay by this Friday while BT has requested ‘a few more weeks’ to consider its position. 

Once again if there was something I missed or you feel I have unfairly represented the news, please feel free to comment.

Old Moore’s Almanack: Horse Racing: May’s Results

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The May horse racing predictions can be found at the bottom of page 41 in my copy of Old Moore’s Almanack.  It simply states: ‘At Newmarket this year the 1,000 Guineas and 2,000 Guineas are likely to go to well-backed favourites‘.

The two races took place over the weekend of the 5th and 6th May 2012.  The 2,000 Guineas took place on Saturday 5th May 2012 and was indeed won by the favourite Camelot.  Camelot took the race from the 12-1 French Fifteen bu a neck and so became only the third favourite in the last 19 years to win the race.  Therefore credit where credit is due, Old Moore definitely should take the plaudits here.  The full race card can be found here.

The 1,000 Guineas took place the following day but there was no fairytale double for Old Moore.  The race was delayed by half an hour due to Gray Pearl being fatally injured in the stalls.  She had become wedged under the stalls and the vets put her down on welfare grounds after she suffered a spinal injury.

Homecoming Queen cruised to nine length victory in an understandably subdued meeting.  At 25-1 she should more accurately be described as an outsider and far from being a favourite, however if you are willing to back each way then the favourite Maybe (13-8) finished third.  The full race card can be found here

So one on the nose and one each way, I suppose one could describe this as a successful month for Old Moore.

Football Pool Forecast Week 18

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5th May 2012

Peterborough, Torquay, Sunderland, Darlington

The actual fixtures were:

    1. Peterborough no match for the Championship season ended last week
    2. Hereford v Torquay (League Two match)
    3. Fulham v Sunderland (Premier League match)
    4. Darlington no match for the Conference Premier League season ended last week.

The results were:

    1. Peterborough (0 points)
    2. Hereford 3 v Torquay 2 (1 point)
    3. Fulham 2Sunderland 1 (1 point – Played on Sunday 6th May 2012)
    4. Darlington (0 points)

The first thing to note is that the seasons are drawing to a close and not at the same time.  Old Moore yields forecasts until 19th May and starts again on the 4th August; this is outside of the seasons (some ended 28th April, others 5th May and most by 13th May).  So I will not include the last week of forecasts for this season as none of the teams will be playing.  This has already had its affect on this week’s fixtures with two of teams not playing and unfortunately the two that were playing did not conform to Old Moore’s predictions with two home wins.

Football Pool Forecast Week 17

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28th April 2012

Colchester, Hull, Charlton, Boston

The actual fixtures were:

    1. Colchester v Tranmere (League One match)
    2. West Ham v Hull  (Championship match)
    3. Preston v Charlton (League One match)
    4. Boston v Guiseley (Blue Square North match)

 

The results were:

    1. Colchester 4 v Transmere 2 (1 point)
    2. West Ham 2 v Hull 1 (1 point)
    3. Preston 2Charlton 2 (3 points)
    4. Boston 3 v Guiseley3 (3 points)

This set of fixtures has raised another important issue that I hadn’t truly given much thought about.  i.e. not every game that is played appears on the Pools and once again with Boston in the 6th tier of English football the draw that their game yielded is superfluous to whether one would win the jackpot.  This is something I will have to address next season.  But that aside two score draws in a week is a good haul of points.  Let’s see if it continues to the end of the seasons.

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