Old Moore’s Almanack: Horse Racing: June’s Results

Leave a comment

The horse racing predictions for the month of June cane found at the bottom of page 42 in my copy of Old Moore’s Almanack.  It states “Look out for a fairly local English trained horse at the Derby this year, whilst the favourite or possibly second favourite may be the winner of the Oaks.”

For those of you unfamiliar with English horse racing both of these races happens over the same meeting at Epsom race course in Surrey.  This year’s Oaks was held on the 1st June 2012 and was won by the Aidan O’Brien trained horse Was (ridden by Seamie Heffernan) and at 20-1 could hardly be called a favourite!  The full race card is here.

The Derby (the Queen’s favourite race) kicked off the weekend of Diamond Jubilee celebrations.  With only a field of 9 horses this was the smallest field since 1909 and the Queen was among 130,000 that saw the 8-13 favourite Camelot give Aidan O’Brien his latest Classics winner (he is heading for a clean sweep).  Camelot was ridden by Joseph O’Brien, Aidan’s son, also making history as the first father/son winners of the Derby.  The full race card can be found here.

Now the prediction stated that the winner would be a fairly local English trained horse.  What can be more English that a horse called ‘Camelot’ the legendary seat of King Arthur however Camelot (the horse) is trained in Ballydoyle, Ireland (not exactly local nor English).  If you want to be pedantic Camelot was reared at Highclere stud in Newbury, Berkshire but I would feel that is pushing the facts to fit the prediction.

Therefore I am afraid that Old Moore failed on both predictions this month although if you really want to be a pedant then the first half of the prediction doesn’t actually say that an English trained horse would win the Derby merely to look out for one!


Old Moore’s Almanack: Horse Racing: May’s Results

Leave a comment

The May horse racing predictions can be found at the bottom of page 41 in my copy of Old Moore’s Almanack.  It simply states: ‘At Newmarket this year the 1,000 Guineas and 2,000 Guineas are likely to go to well-backed favourites‘.

The two races took place over the weekend of the 5th and 6th May 2012.  The 2,000 Guineas took place on Saturday 5th May 2012 and was indeed won by the favourite Camelot.  Camelot took the race from the 12-1 French Fifteen bu a neck and so became only the third favourite in the last 19 years to win the race.  Therefore credit where credit is due, Old Moore definitely should take the plaudits here.  The full race card can be found here.

The 1,000 Guineas took place the following day but there was no fairytale double for Old Moore.  The race was delayed by half an hour due to Gray Pearl being fatally injured in the stalls.  She had become wedged under the stalls and the vets put her down on welfare grounds after she suffered a spinal injury.

Homecoming Queen cruised to nine length victory in an understandably subdued meeting.  At 25-1 she should more accurately be described as an outsider and far from being a favourite, however if you are willing to back each way then the favourite Maybe (13-8) finished third.  The full race card can be found here

So one on the nose and one each way, I suppose one could describe this as a successful month for Old Moore.

Old Moore’s Almanack: Horse Racing: April Results

Leave a comment

The month of April is synonymous with the Grand National and indeed there are three separate Grand Nationals in the month of April and all three appear in Old Moore’s Almanack’s horse racing predictions for the month.

The prediction states: ‘At Ayr in the Scottish Grand National a nine-year-old carrying 11st 9lb could triumph which the winner at Aintree’s Grand National is likely to be a nine-year-old carrying 10st 10lb. At Fairyhouse, the Irish Grand National may see the favourite first home.‘  So let us see how accurate that is:

The first of the ‘Grand Nationals’ to be run in 2012 was the Irish Grand National at Fairyhouse held as usual on Easter Monday (9th April 2012).  It was won by Lion Na Bearnai a 10 year old horse carrying 10 stone 5 pounds.  So was Lion Na Bearnai the favourite?  Not in the slightest, Lion Da Bearnai was a 33-1 underdog.  The favourite Four Commanders did not finish the race, he is the full race card.  Zero out of one.

The following Saturday (14th April) The Grand National held at Aintree was run.  After one false start the race saw its closest ever finish with Neptune Collonges winning by barely more than a nostril over Sunnyhillboy.  Neptune Collonges, an 11 year old grey horse, was carrying 11 stone 6 pounds not a 9 year old carrying 10 stone 10 pounds, not a good result for Old Moore again.  Interestingly, like Lion Da Bearnai at the beginning of the week Neptune Collonges started the race at 33-1.  Oh, for time travel, a spare £1,000 and a betting slip.  As you can see from the race card both the horse that finished second Sunnyhillboy, and the horse that finished third, Seabass were 9 year olds and Seabass (ridden by Kate Walsh – Ruby Walsh’s sister) was carrying 10 stone 12 pounds which is close to the prediction while the horse that finished 4th Cappa Bleu (a 10 year old) was carrying the predicted 10 stone 10 pounds.  So although Old Moore failed to predict the winner, if you are prepared to bet on a number of horses that approach the criteria in the prediction then you may break even with a couple of each way bets.

Sadly two horses were put down after falling in this year’s race. According to Pete and last month’s Gold Cup winner Synchronised.  It was almost like Synchronised has its own premonition for before the race it unhorsed his rider AP McCoy and ran loose heading the wrong way down the course before being caught and kept until McCoy could be driven round to ride him back to the start.  A vet checked him out and passed him fit to start the race and so his fate was sealed.

The trinity is completed with the Scottish Grand National held at Ayr on Saturday 21st April this year.  The winner was Merigo (15-2, so not a trio of 33-1 shots!), the winner in 2010 and the runner up last year, so a horse that likes Ayr.  Merigo is 11 years old and was carrying 10 stone 2 pounds, so a complete miss for Old Moore there.  The closest horse to fit the description was Junior a 14-1 horse that pulled up.  The full race card is here.

In conclusion, I would say that the Grand Nationals do not conform either to form nor the whim of astrological predictions.


Old Moore’s Almanack: Horse Racing: March results

Leave a comment

The sole horse racing prediction for the month of March can be found on page 39 of my Old Moore’s Almanack and refers to the big race of the month, the Cheltenham Gold Cup.  The Cheltenham Gold Cup is a Grade 1 National Hunt chase open to horse five years or older and run over 22 jumps around a course length of 3 miles and 2½ furlongs.  This year’s race took place, as is usual, on the Friday (16th March – this year).

The prediction was ‘The Gold Cup… …may be won by a seven year old favourite.

The race was actually won by Tony McCoy riding Synchronised a 9 year old 8-1 shot.  Interestingly the favourite Long Run was 7 years old and finished 3rd, so an each way beat on the favourite would have won you a couple of pence.  (Click here for the full race card).

I will leave the reader to decide whether that is a successful prediction.

Old Moore’s Almanack: Horse Racing: February results

1 Comment

The sole prediction for the month of February can be found on page 38 of my edition of the Almanack: ‘At Newbury, The TOTE GOLD TROPHY race may be won by a five year old bearing a weight of around 10st‘.

If we are going to be strictly accurate there has not been a Tote Gold Trophy since 2004, in 2005 it became known as the Totesport Trophy and from this year (2012) Betfair have sponsored the meet and so it is now known as the Betfair Hurdle.  But let us put that behind us what happened in this year’s race?

This year’s race was due to be run on Saturday 11th February 2012 but the winter weather put pay to the entire meet and it was rescheduled for Friday 17th February 2012.

So, the weather warms up and the rescheduled race goes ahead.  Ruby Walsh wins the Betfari Hurdle on the 11-4 favourite Zarkandar.  Here is the good news for Old Moore Zarkandar is 5 years old however he was carrying 11 stone 1 pound so a fair way out on the weight predicted.

Now before we get too dewy eyed about Old Moore and his horse racing predictions out of the 20 horses in the race, 8 of them were 5 years old.  Out of those eight, 2 of them were carrying 10 stone (not including two 6 year olds that were carrying 10 stone) and they finished 9th and 16th respectively.  Please click here for the full race card.

Nevertheless with a little knowledge and with Old Moore to guide you, you could have won a tidy sum on Zarkandar and Ruby Walsh today.


Old Moore’s Almanack: Horse Racing: January results

Leave a comment

Page 37 of the 2012 Old Moore’s Almanack  for 2012 states that ‘In National Hunt meetings at this time favourites in the novice chases are likely to take most of the honours’.

To be honest I do not even class this as a prediction.  There are 34 National Hunt meetings in January 2012 the chances that most of the honours especially in a novice chase is going to be taken by the favourites is a little weak and although this prediction may indeed be true it is too general to classify.

Sorry Foulsham’s: must try harder.
Come back next month.