Advent Trivia Day 24:

Leave a comment

Utah has the highest number of paid internet pornography accounts

Advertisements

Advent Trivia Day 17:

Leave a comment

Apollo 12 astronauts took porn to the moon

Old Moore’s Almanack: World Event Predictions 8th March

Leave a comment

March’s full moon occurs on Thursday 8th and the astronomical indications, according to Old Moore, point to a mood of prosperity, specifically:

  • The property market is showing signs of sustained recovery
  • Shrewd investors should consider the art market
  • Retailers will target the young and child market.
  • There will be concerns over the amount spent on pornography and attempts to curb its availability
  • The Russian government will be in a strong position but maybe the subject of violent protests in the streets of Moscow and other major cities

So, as usual, let us analyse these in depth.

  • The property market is showing signs of sustained recovery – There is a lot of disinformation regarding the housing market, which is understandable as the boom that the housing market has seen over the last 15 years or so has contributed to the perceived wealth of the country.  Therefore anything that either undermines this perception or indeed causes the asset to drop significantly would be detrimental to the economy of the country.  The Halifax (the biggest mortgage lender in the UK) reported a monthly decline of 0.5% in February which is a year on year decline of 1.9% and nearly 20% below Halifax’s average house price at the height of the market in August 2007.  Interestingly this is in slight contrast to Nationwide’s report for the same period which indicated a price rise of 0.6% and an annual rise of 0.9%.  However both agree on a similar value for the average house (£160,118 – Halifax £162,712 – Nationwide) and when inflation of 4-5% is taken into account the ‘real’ value of housing has fallen.  Regardless of actual ‘versus’ ‘real’ or 1.9% decline of 0.9% rise the overall graph is looking relatively static but that might change with news that although the Bank of England have recently kept interest rates at their historic low of 0.5% (for the 36th straight month) many of the leading lenders have raised their SVR by at least 0.5% and coupled with inflation and rising unemployment, my personal view is that the housing market is balanced on a knife edge and although there may not be a huge crash this year I would be less surprised than a sustained recovery.  This for me is a fail.
  • Shrewd investors should consider the art market – Is this a prediction?  Effectively whenever there is uncertainty in the economic world investors migrate to alternatives to invest their hard earned cash.  Gold is one of those safe havens as is art.  This is the way of the world and something that has always happened and always will happen.  I am not going to waste any more time on this statement.
  • Retailers will target the young and child market – I see no more of this than usual, although I am a father of two so I am inundated with child focused advertising on a daily basis.
  • There will be concerns over the amount spent on pornography and attempts to curb its availability – Again no major stories regarding this, however there was a story in the Daily Mail (so it must be true) regarding the soft porn channels Babestation and SmileTV that are available on Freeview (the UK digital terrestial network) and thus accessible by children.  The fact that these channels only broadcast from 10pm to 5am and so children shouldn’t be watching tv and many freeview receivers have the ability to hide channels or password protect some channels is completely ignored by ‘outraged from suburbia’.
  • The Russian government will be in a strong position and maybe the subject of violent protests in the streets of Moscow and other major cities – This is actually a hit.  Sunday’s presidential election saw Vladimir Putin return victorious in what has been described by many within Russia as an insult to the Russian people.  Russian’s election commission confirm that Putin received 64% of the vote and will return as Russian President (for a six year term) starting in May.  Election officials have dismissed any questions about voting irregularities, stating that the matter is now closed, although international observers have stated that there was voting irregularities in at least a third of polling stations.  Putin has been Prime Minister of Russian since relinquishing the Presidency in 2008.  There have been protests in many of Russia’s cities with protesters chanting ‘Russia without Putin’ and ‘Power to the millions, not the police’.  We will see how this develops.

Again, I invite any of my readers to challenge any of the above, and we will wait for the next installment.