Football Pool Forecasts

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The Football Pool (also known as ‘the pools’) is a form of betting on the results of weekend football results.  The classic game is based on the old Treble Chance rules which awards 3 points for a score draw, 2 points for a no-score draw and one point for a win (whether home or away) – although the last time I played it there was a difference between home wins (1 point) and away wins (1½ points).  You then take your 8 best scoring lines to give you a total out of 24.

The prize fund is split up into (at a maximum) six dividends but obviously the highest scoring line is declared the top dividend with a larger proportion of the prize fund awarded to players with that score.  Therefore, one hopes that there are only 8 score draws (obviously the more score draws there are the more chance there is of getting 24 points and therefore the greater number of winners sharing the prize fund) and that you are the only person in the country to have them, therefore guaranteeing the jackpot.

In the case of a match being allocated a pools number and that game not taking part for any reason the outcome of the that game (for the purposes of ‘the pools’) would be adjudicated by the ‘pools panel’ based on current form and history between the teams.

On page 72 of my copy of the 2012 edition of Old Moore’s Almanack there is a list of four teams for each of the football dates throughout the year.  Their forecast is based upon a combination of planetary indications (whatever that means) and team colours (I suppose they mean their home colours and not the fact that they could be playing away from home in different strips). They claim that their predications are good for up to two days either side of the date given and so I will take them upon that criteria.

In fairness to Old Moore’s Almanack I will not publish their predictions until after the weekend that they occur (if you want to see the predications you can buy your own copy) but I will try to fill in a little more information regarding the results, including the colour of strip they were wearing that day.

The first date is the 7th January (FA Cup weekend), we wait with bated breath.

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Project Four: 29th February

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I have lived through nine 29th Februaries and have never really given them much thought.  This is my oldest child’s first 29th February (and my second child’s first 29th February), so the first leap day since I have become a father.  It was with this in mind that I decided to catalogue the general happenings on this auspicious day.

Obviously this is going to be a very slow moving project – with updates only once every 4 years – but should be fascinating if I can keep it up for the next 10 occurrences (should I live that long)!

Project Three: The Ides

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This is perhaps a simpler project then the first two that I have set myself (hey it’s my website I can do what I want to do with it!).  This involves no research, no checking of facts and very little time.  It does take discipline though.

I enjoy taking photos but they tend to be snaps, very little art or structured work.  To be frank I don’t have a lot of time to do that and my muses for the majority of my photos tends to be my family or holiday ‘snaps’.  I have toyed with the idea of trying to have some form of focus to a selection of photos and never have, well not until now.

I have decided that I will catalogue the Ides of each month.  Why?  Because I wanted to chose a date each month to record the changes through the year but I also wanted to be a little geeky: hence the Ides.  The Ides (Idus) where thought to be the day of the full moon in Roman months.  This was usually the 13th of most months except March, May, July and October where it was the 15th.

So there will be an update on, or more likely just after, each of the above dates and hopefully it should be a fascinating portrayal of the turning year.

Project One: ‘Old Moore’s Almanack’

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Welcome to 2012 and welcome to the first of ‘Baggie’s Projects’.

Many years ago I was given a copy of Old Moore’s almanack and it intrigued me.  For those of you that do not know of Old Moore’s almanack it is an astrological almanac that was first published in 1697 by Francis Moore astrologer in the court of King Charles II.  It contains astrological predictions of world events and of various sporting events and well as conventional data such as lighting up times.

Occasionally you will hear that major events were predicted by Old Moore’s almanack or Nostradamus or Old Mother Shipton or whoever but some of these interpretations either need to be taken with a large pinch of sodium chloride or have been significantly edited after the event to fit the facts.

Part of me would love to think that the future can be predicted (the cupidinous side of me) although it does grate with the notion that we have free will.  Even Yoda would have an issue that events can be foreseen and I have real difficulty in believing anything to do with the pseudo-science that is modern astrology.  It was therefore with this in mind that I parted with my £2.50 and decided to run an experiment.

This year’s Old Moore’s Almanack boasts of previous successes: it claims to have predicted the 1991 Robert Maxwell fraud, the 1938 Munich Crisis, the bomb in the Tower of London 1974, the death of John Smith (the then Labour Leader) in 1994.  Apparently it also predicted the 2008 property crash (I also predicted that one), the Atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima, the floods in India (2009) and the Iranian embassy siege of 1980.  It predicted the historically lower interest rates in 2009 and the resignation of Tony Blair in 2005.  You could say that is a pretty impressive success rate.

Indeed, according the official website,  “…In 2012, Old Moore’s Almanack will be 316 years old and deserves its world record-beating inclusion in the Guinness Book of Records. With accurate predictions, including the 2001 terrorist attacks, everyone agrees that Old Moore is the No. 1 seer, with the best prediction record…

Old Moore’s Almanack is divided into a number of sections but I am only going to concentrate on the major world event section (pages 37-48) and the horse racing (also pages 37-48) and football pools sections (page 72).  For your information the other sections include monthly horoscope predictions for each star sign (need I explain why I am not entertaining that section) and horoscope predictions of various public figures (this year’s are: Alan Sugar, Nick Clegg, Catherine Zeta Jones, Sebastian Coe, Kelly Holmes and Theresa May) which again could be open to interpretation.

The copy of Old Moore’s Almanack that I have was published in June 2011 and my copy arrived via the postman via a well known on line retailer at the end of October.  So what ever you think about the publication at least it hasn’t been retro-edited to fit the facts and therefore lives and dies (this year’s version anyway) by the predictions that have been printed at least a couple of months before the turn of the year.

I will therefore make extensive contemporary searches for each of the predictions that are made in the 2012 edition and report back via the medium that is this website and we will see whether the £2.50 was worth the investment.

The truth is out there

Baggie

‘Always in motion is the future’ – Yoda